| Wyatt’s World By Wyatt Emmerich Economy has us shuddering in fear -- again Jackson
taxpayers pay $10 per passenger per bus ride to fund the Jatran
municipal bus system. That’s government efficiency hard at work. For that amount, we would be better off just buying all the Jatran passengers their own used car. Do
the math: If a Jacksonian uses the bus to get back and forth from work,
the cost to taxpayers is $20 a day, five days a week, 52 weeks per
year. That’s $5,000 a year. A private business
would not be able to operate like that. It would go out of business. In
contrast, the government can go on operating inefficiently forever. In
fact, the city is about to buy another $12 million in buses, thanks to
the Obama stimulus package. Quick question: When
the feds cut taxes, do government receipts go up or down? Most people
would say “down” and they would be wrong. When government cuts taxes,
the government actually collects more in tax money. The historical data
on this is clear, irrefutable and easily available on the Internet. You
see, when the government cuts taxes, it spurs the economy. When the
economy is doing well people make more money and pay more taxes, even
though the rate they pay is lower. In addition, when tax rates are
lower people spend less effort on tax avoidance. It’s a win-win
situation just waiting to be enjoyed. In our last bad recession, Reagan cut taxes dramatically. The recession faded and we had eight years of growth and prosperity. Unfortunately,
cutting taxes is bad politics for Demo-crats, especially when half the
voters pay no federal income taxes. Taxing the rich and giving to the
poor has been a popular theme since the days of Julius Caesar, who used
the ploy to turn the Roman Republic into his personal empire. We’ve
learned a bit since then. Communication is better. People are more
educated. They want results. Raising taxes may sound good, but when it
stymies economic growth, the voters will turn sour and the Republicans
will be back in office. Let’s hope they do a better job next time
around. Obama’s plan isn’t all bad. Giving the
states Medicaid and teacher money will save cities and states from
raising taxes. That’s sort of a backward tax cut. Infrastructure money
isn’t all bad. At least we get some long-term assets like roads and
bridges. It just takes too long to turn the economy around. The
quickest, simplest, easiest way to jump-start the economy is a tax
cut. A payroll tax cut would have worked fine. After all, Obama did
promise to cut taxes for everybody but the super-rich. Of
course, the super-rich deserve to be punished with extra-high taxes.
After all, they are only the most productive people in our economy! Now
that’s the way to spur economic growth. We are in the bowels of a nasty recession. No denying that. Just don’t fall for the Chicken Little stuff. The
last recession of 2001 was caused by the bursting of the dot-com
bubble. Nasdaq crashed to a fourth its peak value. Bad enough, but
only a fraction of the population was heavy into tech stocks and we got
a mild recession. The 1990 recession was caused
by bursting of the commercial real estate bubble. This also affected
banks because a chunk of their collateral is commercial real estate. We
got an average recession. The 1980 recession was
self-inflicted. To curb high inflation the Fed raised interest rates to
20 percent. High interest rates combined with high inflation affected
everybody and we got a nasty recession. The 1975
recession was caused by soaring gas prices and gas shortages. This
created panic, but quickly subsided when the gas shortage was
alleviated. If you look at it logically, this
recession has every reason to be a bad one. It was started by a sudden
rise in inflation and gas prices, followed by the bursting of the
residential real estate bubble. Everybody is affected by high gas
prices and residential real estate, especially the banks for whom
residential real estate is their primary collateral class. So we get a
bad downturn. Human beings haven’t changed a lick
in 10,000 years. We are superstitious, panic-stricken, primitive
lemmings. We are shuddering in fear as the thunder booms. What
has changed is our science, systems and technology. Our understanding
of macro-economics is light years beyond what it was during the Great
Depression. There is no doubt of recovery. Historically,
we spend one-third of our time in a downturn, defined as a period of
increasing unemployment. We might as well learn how to cope with the
situation. Here are some 1980 headlines gleaned from newspaper archives: “Long slow steady decline in jobs seen.” “Economy in free fall.” “Can Uncle Sam stop spinning economy?” “Consumer confidence in economy plummets.” “Skidding economy threatens budgets.” Here are some 1975 headlines: “Economy is just pathetic.” “Ford given two to three months to rescue economy.” “Public gloomy over economy, Gallup finds.” “Nation’s economy takes nosedive.” “President warns of undue alarm about economy.”
Does any of that sound familiar? Now let’s suck it up, get a stiff upper lip and muddle through, as we always have. Biggest
irony of the recession: Everybody blames “collateralized debt
obligations” for tanking our economy. The CDOs were the pieces of paper
representing bundles of home mortgages and such that banks got stuck
with. Now the latest Fed program is called Term
Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF). The Fed will buy a
trillion dollars worth of collateralized credit cards, auto loans and
other consumer debt paper. Guess who’s going to issue these new CDOs
for the Fed: the hedge fund industry! The very
thing the public has demonized as the cause of this recession, the Fed
is trying to resuscitate to save the economy. The more things change,
the more they stay the same. And the most ironic part of all, it will
work.
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